Nicole Ward Gauthier, Extension Plant Pathologist and Kimberly Leonberger, Extension Associate | KPN | April 19, 2016
Risk for fire blight infection can be high as temperatures become warm and wet weather occurs during bloom. Growers can assess risk by using the Fire Blight Disease Prediction Model and selecting specific county and orchard history. This model incorporates the previous 4 days of weather data plus adds a 7-day forecast for estimating leaf wetness and temperature (thereby estimating risk for bacterial growth and infection). There are 66 Mesonet weather stations throughout Kentucky, and weather information for the model is based on data from the closest weather station. For a mobile (phone or tablet) friendly version of this site, visit http://weather.uky.edu/dim.html.
Remember that apple and pear trees must be in bloom for predictions to be accurate. The example above indicates fire blight risk for a single county on a single date. Growers are encouraged to regularly check risks for their particular county in order to obtain the most accurate analyses and county-specific forecasts. Infection by the fire blight bacterium occurs during bloom, thus, protectant antibiotics should be applied when risk is high and trees are in bloom.
Apple development stage varies across the state. Many apple varieties in Western Kentucky are beyond bloom, but across the rest of the state, apples are in full bloom.